# Dane Brugler: The Athletic's draft analyst laid out his expected top of the draft — Cam Ward first, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, Abdul Carter third to the Giants — while predicting Shedeur Sanders slides outside the top 10 (a late first/early second grade), Jalen Milroe goes in round two, and all five of the class's top quarterbacks come off the board within the first 50-60 picks.

**Claimed:** Apr 10, 2025
**Pundit:** Dane Brugler — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dane-brugler
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd/hour-2-playoff-pressure-predictions

8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think there's a good chance we see cam Ward go one, Travis Hunter go two to the Browns, and then Abdul Carter three to the Giants.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “outside the top ten” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cam Ward, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Abdul Carter, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Travis Hunter, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jalen Milroe to be picked “round two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jalen Milroe
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tyler Shough
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to be picked “off the board in the top fifty to sixty picks”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jaxson Dart
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Shedeur Sanders to be picked “a late one, early two”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Shedeur Sanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Shedeur Sanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/shedeur-sanders
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Abdul Carter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/abdul-carter
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Travis Hunter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travis-hunter
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Jalen Milroe — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-milroe
- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on New York Giants: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- John Middlekauff on Tennessee Titans: Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8115d255-82e3-442e-aeef-c3eaa3587603 (scored 0)
- Richard Sherman on New York Giants: Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03 (scored 100)
- Colin Cowherd on Tennessee Titans: The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") made his own Week 3 picks, including blowout wins for Seattle and San Francisco, Cincinnati 27-17, Detroit 37-13, Denver 24-21 over the Rams, and predicted Jonah Coleman takes over the Broncos' running back role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ccbceaa-54ca-4a2e-ad90-006f1ded0ad2 (scored 0)
- Tom Pelissero on New York Giants: Pelissero said the Giants' upcoming schedule (home vs. Tennessee, Washington, home vs. Arizona) offers three winnable games even with a backup quarterback, and that Washington's Jayden Daniels likely won't be back for that stretch. He also expects the winless Commanders to fall to 0-3 against Seattle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e93f2f8d-ec24-4e3f-b158-dd1a518f9445 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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