# Matt Harmon: Harmon picked the Lions over the Packers, the Chiefs to win in Seattle, the Bengals at Baltimore, the 49ers over the Falcons and the Rams to beat the Raiders (while the Raiders cover). His Hail Mary was that the Vikings quarterback scores four total touchdowns against the Colts, and he expected Josh Jacobs and Zach Charbonnet to play while Rashee Rice sits. **Claimed:** Oct 22, 2026 **Pundit:** Matt Harmon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon **Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/4724a71f-cd52-4df4-9093-83503c848493/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=4724a71f-cd52-4df4-9093-83503c848493&feed=Nvy5cWFT 7 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 3 availability calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna go Lions. At home, coming out of a bye, I think they'll have enough answers here. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Seahawks** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · underdog pick, Chiefs 41%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions to beat Packers** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Lions by 3.5 · favorite pick, Lions 63%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Raiders** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Ravens** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 25, 2026): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **this Chiefs receiver room right now that's probably not gonna have Rashid Rice in this one (Week 7 at Seattle)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Zach Charbonnet, who probably plays in this game (Week 7 vs. Chiefs)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: not settled yet - **the Packers are also getting reinforcements back in this game because Josh Jacobs is gonna play (Week 7 vs. Lions)** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Josh Jacobs, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice - Zach Charbonnet — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zach-charbonnet - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Josh Jacobs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-jacobs - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers ## What others said about the same people - Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100) - Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100) - Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100) - John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jared Koch on Houston Texans: Koch predicts the Texans will beat the winless Chargers on the road in Week 9 by at least 10 points, with Houston's defense forcing a couple of turnovers to set up a multiple-score win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2861ce9-d1de-4f34-b001-83e64c3f5770 (scored 100) - Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Chicago Bears: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100) - Eric Mangini on New England Patriots: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0) - Donte Johnson on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1731194b-2ff9-4142-b4ca-45a4097101ae (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-harmon