# Derek Brown: Brown's mock picks: Carnell Tate to Tennessee at 4, David Bailey to Washington at 7, Mansoor Delane to Cincinnati at 10, Jermod McCoy to the Rams at 13, Caleb Banks to the Jets at 16, Jordan Tyson to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to Chicago at 25, Caleb Lomu to Houston at 28 and Akheem Mesidor to New England at 31.

**Claimed:** Feb 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-nfl-first-round-mock-draft-2-0-ep-1961

10 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 68.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Caleb Blowmou, come on down, offensive tackle out of Utah.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 2.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers

## What others said about the same people

- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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