# Jeremy Pargo: Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo. **Claimed:** Oct 10, 2026 **Pundit:** Jeremy Pargo — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-pargo **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-picks-week-5-2026-nfl-season 15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 61.7 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The midseason voyage couldn't come at a worse time for coach and club. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams 27 — Buffalo Bills 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and fewer points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions 35 — Arizona Cardinals 27** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 61.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 35–27 calls a bigger Lions win (by 8) and more points (62). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Atlanta Falcons 31 — Baltimore Ravens 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 11) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Denver Broncos 17 — Los Angeles Chargers 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 36.48 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 17–13 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and fewer points (30). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks 17 — San Francisco 49ers 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 17–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (30). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Pittsburgh Steelers 21 — Indianapolis Colts 19** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 76.19 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 21–19 calls a closer game (Steelers by 2) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Washington Commanders 20 — New York Giants 18** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 70.24 out of 100, against 72.91 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 20–18 calls a closer game (Commanders by 2) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears 26 — Green Bay Packers 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 26–24 calls a bigger Bears win (by 2) and more points (50). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints 17 — Minnesota Vikings 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 28.57 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 17–16 calls a Saints win (by 1; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (33). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New England Patriots 23 — Las Vegas Raiders 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New York Jets 19 — Cleveland Browns 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 90.19 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 19–17 calls a closer game (Jets by 2) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Miami Dolphins 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 24–13 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 11) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans 20 — Tennessee Titans 9** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 71.43 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 20–9 calls a bigger Texans win (by 11) and fewer points (29). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Philadelphia Eagles 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–16 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 7) and fewer points (39). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Dallas Cowboys 31 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0) - Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62) - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100) - Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24) - Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Buffalo Bills: Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Buffalo Bills: Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6adf08dd-972d-4cce-b6b8-8212332b191e (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029d282f-2740-4c4d-af36-07a93d65eb65 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jeremy-pargo