# Patrick Claybon: Claybon projects Bijan Robinson as the week's top running back and A.J. Brown as a candidate for top wide receiver, and gives weekly fantasy point projections of about 26 for Drake Maye, 19 for Trevor Lawrence and just over 10 for Brock Bowers.

**Claimed:** Dec 16, 2025
**Pundit:** Patrick Claybon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/patrick-claybon
**Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-fantasy-football-podcast/nfl-fantasy-live-steelers-dolphins-recap-fantasy-playoff-predictions

5 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 16.7 out of 100, against 48.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I have a projection of twenty six point full fantasy points because this Ravens defense has struggled against the deep pass.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Brock Bowers to record 10 fantasy points**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 66.05 for a naive guess
- **Trevor Lawrence to record 19 fantasy points**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Drake Maye to record 26 fantasy points**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Jacksonville Jaguars: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 50)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Philadelphia Eagles: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Jacksonville Jaguars: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 0)
- Jaron Spor on Jacksonville Jaguars: The host predicted a comfortable Buccaneers win over Cleveland, 27-10, picked Jacksonville as an upset winner at Denver, said the Giants could win seven or eight games as a sneaky team, and expected Deshaun Watson and the Browns to part ways soon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7a7160b2-ca51-4fce-a478-bd9f75323548 (scored 0)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Chris Broussard on Lamar Jackson: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84)
- Shannon Sharpe on T.J. Watt: On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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