# Patrick Claybon: Claybon projects Bijan Robinson as the week's top running back and A.J. Brown as a candidate for top wide receiver, and gives weekly fantasy point projections of about 26 for Drake Maye, 19 for Trevor Lawrence and just over 10 for Brock Bowers.

**Claimed:** Dec 16, 2025
**Pundit:** Patrick Claybon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/patrick-claybon
**Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-fantasy-football-podcast/nfl-fantasy-live-steelers-dolphins-recap-fantasy-playoff-predictions

4 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 20.8 out of 100, against 60.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I have a projection of twenty six point full fantasy points because this Ravens defense has struggled against the deep pass.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Brock Bowers to record 10 fantasy points**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 66.05 for a naive guess
- **Trevor Lawrence to record 19 fantasy points**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
- **Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Bijan Robinson
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson

## What others said about the same people

- Garrett Podell on Philadelphia Eagles: Podell predicts the Eagles, behind new starting quarterback Joe Milton III, snap their six-game losing streak by upsetting the first-place Giants in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5bd225b-5f6f-41be-a44d-aa34f20ffad2 (scored 0)
- Conor Orr on Philadelphia Eagles: Orr projects the Giants to finish 6-11 in 2026 under new head coach John Harbaugh, with a 1-6 start before the Week 8 bye and a 5-5 finish afterward, their lone first-half win coming at home against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/59f3656d-ab7d-43aa-92fe-d66a47b658fb (scored 0)
- AJ Hawk on Jacksonville Jaguars: Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0abbd638-5ccf-408e-864d-bd5651044b3d (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on Jacksonville Jaguars: Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/377a2765-5130-479c-8d47-e62f64fff35b (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once they report, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca08b414-c136-4da2-9805-d9bada155854 (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f137eeee-71a3-4de4-bfa0-50699d23e147 (scored 100)

## More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Puka Nacua: Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d48b8521-6883-4f25-99f1-6f552bfe5a94 (scored 75)
- Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100)
- Ryan Tracy on Bryan Cook: Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; they name Brian Robinson as their target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823 (scored 0)
- Pat Gustavson on Josh Allen: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 16.67)
- Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said they don't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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