# Jake Ciely: Seely fades Malik Nabers (WR13) and Justin Jefferson (WR12) over health and quarterback questions, is lower on DeVonta Smith and Brian Thomas Jr., and is aggressive on Marvin Harrison Jr., Wandale Robinson, Ricky Pearsall, Deebo Samuel and Chimere Dike; he also expects Jake Tonges to be a top-20 tight end.

**Claimed:** Mar 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-fantasy-football-wide-receiver-rankings-and-tiers-ep-1966

9 checkable claims — 9 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room on every one.

> So I just say, as of right now, I'm gonna put him at thirteen.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Brian Thomas Jr. to finish top 40 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **DeVonta Smith to finish top 26 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to finish top 32 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Wan'Dale Robinson to finish top 33 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Wan'Dale Robinson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jake Tonges to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Jake Tonges, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Malik Nabers to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Malik Nabers, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Justin Jefferson to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ricky Pearsall to finish top 31 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Deebo Samuel Sr. to finish top 44 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Deebo Samuel Sr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- DeVonta Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/devonta-smith
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Wan'Dale Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/wan-dale-robinson
- Jake Tonges — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jake-tonges
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Malik Nabers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-nabers
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Ricky Pearsall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ricky-pearsall
- Deebo Samuel Sr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deebo-samuel-sr

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Minnesota Vikings: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 90.48)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Philadelphia Eagles: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Philadelphia Eagles: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Jacksonville Jaguars: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 0)

## More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100)
- Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100)
- Ryan Tracy on Bryan Cook: Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823 (scored 0)
- Pat Gustavson on Bijan Robinson: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 75)
- JP Acosta on Bijan Robinson: JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 (scored 75)
- Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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