# Connor Rogers: Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night. **Claimed:** Nov 5, 2026 **Pundit:** Connor Rogers — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-rogers **Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/a926b15b-61d2-4aff-bbed-b4f90129098d/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b 3 checkable claims — 2 position group finish and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one. > I'll go Minnesota because the fact that they're second in the NFL in both yards allowed per game and yards allowed per play *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 5, 2026): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Minnesota Vikings defense to be the best in the league** - Kind: Position Group Finish · About: Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chicago Bears offense to be the best in the league** - Kind: Position Group Finish · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears ## What others said about the same people - John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on Chicago Bears: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 100) - Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62) - Danny Parkins on Chicago Bears: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Chicago Bears: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 97.62) - John Middlekauff on Chicago Bears: Middlekauff declared the AFC South over and the Jaguars the division champs, while listing several clubs he expects in the playoffs and pegging the Jets for a top-five draft slot. He also leaned Packers and Bears in Week 9 games, predicted roughly five or six wins for Washington, said Brandon Aiyuk is not coming back, and called Tyson Bagent's current deal the biggest he'll ever sign. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fbf1f78-2f2a-49cf-8052-89897c9a1ff8 (scored 100) ## More position group finish The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Zachary Pereles on Baltimore Ravens: Pereles grades the Brissett trade well for both sides, projecting Brissett as Baltimore's Week 10 starter who gives the Ravens a workable but below-average offense, and identifying the Chargers and Panthers games as winnable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/883b3e26-6021-4fe9-bc77-d8daec04922c (not settled) - Chris Long on Green Bay Packers: Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d (not settled) - Chris Simms on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (not settled) - Christopher Carter on Pittsburgh Steelers: Carter argues the Steelers' defense genuinely belongs among the NFL's top five, crediting Patrick Graham's scheme, and frames the discussion around whether that level holds for the rest of the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/33915df4-7b64-482e-b9ec-73b9bd1cd412 (not settled) - Nick Wright on Buffalo Bills: Wright picked Buffalo to beat Baltimore in Lamar Jackson's return game, argued the Bills' much-maligned defense will climb to roughly 24th in the league rather than finishing 30th, expects Jacksonville to beat the Ravens four days later, and said a win in Denver would make 12 wins Kansas City's floor. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c597cd66-46e9-4cd1-b562-93b413d2c20b (not settled) - Dan Orlovsky on Buffalo Bills: Orlovsky argued that the Bills' defensive issues are a handful of blown-coverage snaps per game, and that if Buffalo cleans those up it has the talent and scheme to finish as a top-15, top-half-of-the-league defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/191b139b-f215-4f19-bfcc-e3b9676b1f77 (not settled) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=connor-rogers