# David Harrison: In his Mock Draft Monday, Harrison projects the top nine picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, with Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, two trades in the top 10, and the Commanders trading back from No. 7 to select LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine at No. 9; he then lays out Washington's full class from Round 3 on.

**Claimed:** Mar 23, 2026
**Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/5bb490d6-e7ea-4a6b-b70a-1bcd547ae384/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=5bb490d6-e7ea-4a6b-b70a-1bcd547ae384&feed=psq7p3Ar

18 checkable claims — 15 mock draft picks and 3 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

15 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 67.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> Mansourde Lane is the pick for Washington, but it's not at number seven.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 187**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ar'maj Reed-Adams, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 9.64 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Antonio Williams to be picked at number 71**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Antonio Williams, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Romello Height to be picked at number 74**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Romello Height, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Austin Barber to be picked at number 147**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Austin Barber, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 7.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Zavion Thomas to be picked at number 209**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zavion Thomas, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0.55 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Deven Eastern to be picked at number 223**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Deven Eastern, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Washington Commanders to pick at number 9**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 6**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to pick at number 7**
  - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Ar'maj Reed-Adams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ar-maj-reed-adams
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Antonio Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/antonio-williams-1040
- Romello Height — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/romello-height
- Austin Barber — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/austin-barber
- Zavion Thomas — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zavion-thomas
- Deven Eastern — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deven-eastern

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Jake Arthur on Kansas City Chiefs: Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca7ab74e-ab34-4ed6-a77f-2c7e9f8c8c4d (scored 97.62)
- Zach Hicks on Kansas City Chiefs: Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ddbaddad-c15e-4e6f-a6ac-f066de6cdc2a (scored 97.62)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Scott Bogman on Olaivavega Ioane: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 70.71)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison
