# Chris Long: Previewing Week 8, Chris Long leaned Pittsburgh over Cleveland, picked Tampa Bay to beat Atlanta 23-19, had Carolina beating Green Bay 24-20 on Thursday night, and said the Denver-Kansas City matchup tilts toward the Broncos. He also expected Jeffery Simmons to make his Bears debut Monday night and floated that this is Montez Sweat's last season in Chicago.

**Claimed:** Oct 30, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Long — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long
**Outlet:** Green Light with Chris Long (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/green-light-with-chris-long-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/YH4713968821.mp3

7 checkable claims — 2 availability calls, 2 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 90.5 out of 100, against 87.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think the Steelers have the edge in this one.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 — Falcons 19**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 71.43 out of 100, against 63.03 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Buccaneers by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 23–19 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 4) and fewer points (42). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Steelers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 64%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **I had a jump scare when I saw Shavers got elevated this week. I thought DJ Moore wasn't gonna be up, and luckily, he's gonna play.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: DJ Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carolina Panthers 24 — Packers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **We'll see his Chicago debut on Monday night against Seattle, who also made a big addition this past week.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jeffery Simmons, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Montez Sweat to move — “this being his last hurrah in Chicago”**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Montez Sweat
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Jeffery Simmons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeffery-simmons
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Montez Sweat — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/montez-sweat

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Chicago Bears: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62)
- Danny Parkins on Chicago Bears: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- Eric Mangini on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-long
