# John Breech: Breech picks the Bills to beat the Lions 38-31 on Thursday night, floats the game as a Super Bowl preview, and takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks 20-17 in Week 2.

**Claimed:** Sep 17, 2026
**Pundit:** John Breech — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-breech
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/lions-bills-predictions-for-thursday-plus-nfl-week-2-picks-for-all-16-games-and-ranking-each-starting-qb/

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 46.4 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I believe in Arizona and I think the Cards are going to pull off the upset here.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Arizona Cardinals 20 — Seahawks 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 20, 2026): Seahawks by 3.5, total 40.5 · this 20–17 calls a Cardinals win (by 3; the line gave the Cardinals about 1 in 3 (34%)) and fewer points (37). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 38 — Lions 31**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 79.41 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 17, 2026): Bills by 5.5, total 54.5 · this 38–31 calls a bigger Bills win (by 7) and more points (69). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Trevor Ripley on Buffalo Bills: Ripley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d007779f-687d-4623-87c1-8a62c6d62b06 (scored 76.19)
- Brooke Cersosimo on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e232a51e-7f06-4868-8d19-152de27a5e7a (scored 100)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Brockman on Seattle Seahawks: Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7755a3be-efa7-417e-aefe-47d37d5fb067 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Denver Broncos: Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/afd8c9a0-6068-4bfc-8dac-3bcc196f1231 (scored 50)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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