# JP Acosta: Acosta gave draft ranges for combine risers — Nussmeier in the third round, Kenyon Sadiq in round one, Chris Johnson in round two — and made picks 2, 4, 6 and every other selection in a post-combine first-round mock draft. **Claimed:** Mar 2, 2026 **Pundit:** JP Acosta — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jp-acosta **Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174655/8174655_2026-04-12-052055.192.mp3?rssID=6037 26 checkable claims — 26 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 38 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 20 of 26 have settled so far, averaging 67.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I think the third round is where about is about where I draft him. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Garrett Nussmeier to be picked “the third round” (picks 65–100)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Garrett Nussmeier - Verdict: scored 0.16 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kanye Savic to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kanye Savic - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Chris Johnson to be picked “the second round” (picks 33–64)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chris Johnson - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “top 50” (picks 1–50)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jacob Rodriguez - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cole Payton to be picked “day two”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cole Payton - Verdict: not settled yet - **Deion Burks to be picked “day two”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Deion Burks - Verdict: not settled yet - **Malachi Lawrence to be picked “legit round two potential”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked “round one”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman - Verdict: not settled yet - **Dennis Sutton to be picked “day two”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dennis Sutton - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chase Pizzantes to be picked “day two”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chase Pizzantes - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Garrett Nussmeier — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-nussmeier - Kanye Savic — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kanye-savic - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen - Chris Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-johnson - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Jacob Rodriguez — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacob-rodriguez - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion - Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Cole Payton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cole-payton - Deion Burks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deion-burks - Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence - Dennis Sutton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dennis-sutton - Chase Pizzantes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-pizzantes ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jp-acosta