# Chris Long: Previewing NFL Week 5, Chris Long expects the Jaguars to beat the Eagles in London, picks the Browns, Steelers and Texans to win their games, names the Falcons as NFC South champions, lists his current top five teams, and calls the Vikings and Texans sleeping giants. He also flags Ja'Marr Chase and Dallas Goedert as returning, Jake Majors starting at center for Philadelphia, and Baltimore having to pay Cam Jurgens 50-plus.

**Claimed:** Oct 9, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Long — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long
**Outlet:** Green Light with Chris Long (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/green-light-with-chris-long-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/YH8708508312.mp3

12 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls, 2 surprise team calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think the Titans, the Texans get their first win, though.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans to beat Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 3 in 4 (73%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cleveland Browns to beat Jets**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5 · underdog pick, Browns 44%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 3 in 4 (76%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Top five teams in the NFL... I think in no order, Seattle and San Francisco have to be in that top five, and I think the best three teams in the AFC are currently the Chiefs, the Bills, and the Jags.**
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys 26 — bucks 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ja'Marr Chase should probably play... I I think they'll be with him this weekend. (Week 5 vs Dolphins)**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Houston Texans to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Atlanta Falcons to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Minnesota Vikings to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jake Majors to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jake Majors, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **but you get the... You you get Dallas Goater back. I think he's coming back. (Week 5 vs Jaguars)**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Ja'Marr Chase — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ja-marr-chase
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Jake Majors — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jake-majors
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Dallas Goedert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dallas-goedert

## What others said about the same people

- Joel Corry on Lane Johnson: Corry predicts the Eagles will keep Lane Johnson on the 53-man roster and delay processing his retirement until at least June 2 of next year for salary cap reasons, and that the $10.85 million option bonus payment due in December likely won't be paid. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5140d126-403d-4926-8369-9551ce7f24f1 (scored 100)
- Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0)
- Adam Carlson on Jordan Addison: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 0)
- Dan Parr on Atlanta Falcons: Parr picked every Week 5 game with scores, leaning on Chicago's ground game at Lambeau, Seattle's defense against the unbeaten 49ers, and the Rams handling Buffalo on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c10b52a-0a51-43ee-a55a-78a478f3c2b3 (scored 50)
- Brooke Cersosimo on Atlanta Falcons: Cersosimo picked winners and scores across the Week 5 slate, including the Vikings moving to 5-0 in New Orleans, the Browns at the Jets, the Colts at Pittsburgh and the Falcons over a Lamar-less Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd69c182-b54d-4692-912f-0dd26817dafb (scored 47.62)
- Jeremy Pargo on Atlanta Falcons: Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb5cd6ae-f2ad-49c8-909d-3ad73d196e72 (scored 40.48)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100)
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0)
- Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0)
- Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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