# Andrew Erickson: Erickson laid out their personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom they see finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison.

**Claimed:** May 17, 2025
**Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-erickson
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/are-the-rankings-wrong-top-75-overall-player-rankings-impact-ep-1571

16 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 16 have settled, averaging 54.4 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> False because he finishes a top three running back.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Garrett Wilson to outplay his draft cost (ECR thirty six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ECR thirty nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: DJ Moore, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (ECR ten)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ECR fifty four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the second round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the start of round three, end of round two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (one twenty)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Saquon Barkley to fall short of his draft cost (ECR number two, the number one running back)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (round four)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (ECR six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Garrett Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to record 15 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 77.12 for a naive guess
- “I have him five... I have him ranked at ten [Barkley]... I have Drake London my eleventh ranked overall player... I have him at sixteen [Bowers]... So I have him at number twenty three [Chase Brown]... I have Garrett Wilson at number twenty five overall... You've got him at forty one [Worthy]... I'm right where Ericson is forty sixth overall [DJ Moore]... so I have him at fifty one [Hubbard]... I have him right at ECR at sixty overall [Aaron Jones]”
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 71.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 8.33 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Tyreek Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreek-hill
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Garrett Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-wilson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- DJ Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dj-moore
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Xavier Worthy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-worthy
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Jordan Mason — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-mason
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Saquon Barkley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/saquon-barkley
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- CeeDee Lamb — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons

## What others said about the same people

- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Jalen Coker: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than their QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson
