# Jordan Dajani: Dajani picks the Rams over the 49ers, Texans over Bills, Ravens over Colts, Bengals over Buccaneers, Vikings over Packers, Cowboys over Giants and Broncos over Chiefs in Week 1, with exact scores. They also predict the Bills win the AFC East, the Cowboys win their division, and Caleb Downs wins Defensive Rookie of the Year.

**Claimed:** Sep 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Jordan Dajani — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-dajani
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-1-picks-experts-face-off/

10 checkable claims — 7 score predictions, 2 division winners and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 45.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Caleb Downs is going to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos 17 — Chiefs 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 7.14 out of 100, against 51.93 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2026): Chiefs by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 17–14 calls a Broncos win (by 3; the line gave the Broncos 46%) and fewer points (31). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 21 — Buccaneers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 84.44 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bengals by 3.5, total 50.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Bengals by 1) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 23 — Bills 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 36.83 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bills by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 23–21 calls a Texans win (by 2; the line gave the Texans 50%) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings 22 — Packers 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 73.81 out of 100, against 58.25 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Vikings by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 22–16 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 6) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys 28 — Giants 23**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 79.68 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Cowboys by 3, total 47.5 · this 28–23 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 5) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 27 — Colts 23**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 5.87 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 48.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 4) and more points (50). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams 24 — 49ers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 11.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 10, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 4) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Caleb Downs to win Defensive Rookie of the Year**
  - Kind: Award Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dallas Cowboys to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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