# Steve Mensch: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. **Claimed:** Feb 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Steve Mensch — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-mensch **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/real-first-round-nfl-mock-draft-ep-1944 14 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 14 have settled, averaging 74 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I want Rvel Reese wi your highline. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Chris Johnson to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chris Johnson, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 47.88 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Parker to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Chris Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chris-johnson - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Detroit Lions: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Seattle Seahawks: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=steve-mensch