# Matt Harmon: Harmon picked the Packers, Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in Week 9, predicted Justin Jefferson would top 100 receiving yards with two touchdowns against Buffalo, and said Minnesota would lose and then trade for Jonathan Taylor.

**Claimed:** Nov 5, 2026
**Pundit:** Matt Harmon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon
**Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/54b15f4e-5a12-48d1-8243-be016347ed76/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=54b15f4e-5a12-48d1-8243-be016347ed76&feed=Nvy5cWFT

7 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 1 player season number and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I'll say Justin Jefferson goes over 100 yard and score... 100 yards and scores twice.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Green Bay Packers to beat Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Bucks**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Justin Jefferson to record 2 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathan Taylor to move to Minnesota Vikings**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jonathan Taylor, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-harmon
