# Charlie Campbell: Campbell ranks the top quarterback prospects available for the 2027 NFL Draft, giving each a projected draft round and a projected 40-yard dash time, with Arch Manning and Dante Moore as first-rounders at the top and Jackson Arnold and Max Johnson projected as undrafted free agents.

**Claimed:** Sep 7, 2026
**Pundit:** Charlie Campbell — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/charlie-campbell
**Outlet:** Walter Football — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/walter-football
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://walterfootball.com/QBRankings2027.php

47 checkable claims — 23 mock draft picks, 22 combine measurements, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 25 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

> Sorsby has the talent to be a first- or second-round pick, but a gambling addiction that caused him to seek rehab is going to be a big burden on his grade with NFL teams and could cause him to slide.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Darian Mensah, QB, Miami ... Projected 40 Time: 4.65.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Darian Mensah, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **LaNorris Sellers*, QB, South Carolina ... Projected 40 Time: 4.55.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: LaNorris Sellers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning to be 1st quarterback off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Drew Mestemaker**, QB, Oklahoma State ... Projected 40 Time: 4.55.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Drew Mestemaker
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Gunner Stockton, QB, Georgia ... Projected 40 Time: 4.65.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Gunner Stockton
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brendan Sorsby, QB, Texas Tech ... Projected 40 Time: 4.70.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Brendan Sorsby
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam Leavitt, QB, LSU ... Projected 40 Time: 4.72.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Sam Leavitt
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Hoover, QB, Indiana ... Projected 40 Time: 4.77.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Josh Hoover
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Iamaleava*, QB, UCLA ... Projected 40 Time: 4.53.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Nico Iamaleava
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **John Mateer*, QB, Oklahoma ... Projected 40 Time: 4.75.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: John Mateer
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Noah Fifita, QB, Arizona ... Projected 40 Time: 4.70.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Noah Fifita, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Byrum Brown, QB, Auburn ... Projected 40 Time: 4.70.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Byrum Brown
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **C.J. Carr**, QB, Notre Dame ... Projected 40 Time: 4.70.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: C.J. Carr
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Avery Johnson, QB, Kansas State ... Projected 40 Time: 4.60.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Josh Johnson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning*, QB, Texas ... Projected 40 Time: 4.65.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jackson Arnold, QB, UNLV ... Projected 40 Time: 4.72.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Jackson Arnold
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Drew Mestemaker to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Drew Mestemaker
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dante Moore to be picked “Round 1”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dante Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Trinidad Chambliss, QB, Ole Miss ... Projected 40 Time: 4.60.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Trinidad Chambliss
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Gunner Stockton to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Gunner Stockton
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dante Moore*, QB, Oregon ... Projected 40 Time: 4.60.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Dante Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Demond Williams, QB, Washington ... Projected 40 Time: 4.59.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Dalyn Williams, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning to be picked “Round 1”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam Leavitt to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sam Leavitt
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **John Mateer to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: John Mateer
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Iamaleava to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Nico Iamaleava
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jackson Arnold to be picked “FA (projected undrafted free agent)”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jackson Arnold
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D.J. Lagway*, QB, Baylor ... Projected 40 Time: 4.55.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: D.J. Lagway
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dalyn Williams to be picked “Round 2-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dalyn Williams, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Max Johnson to be picked “FA (projected undrafted free agent)”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Johnson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Byrum Brown to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Byrum Brown
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Julian Sayin*, QB, Ohio State ... Projected 40 Time: 4.70.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Julian Sayin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Darian Mensah to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Darian Mensah, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Julian Sayin to be picked “Round 2-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Julian Sayin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **D.J. Lagway to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: D.J. Lagway
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **LaNorris Sellers to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: LaNorris Sellers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Hoover to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Hoover
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **C.J. Carr to be picked “Round 1-2”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Carr
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brendan Sorsby to be picked “first- or second-round pick” (picks 1–64)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brendan Sorsby
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “Round 2-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trinidad Chambliss
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Max Johnson, QB, Georgia Southern ... Projected 40 Time: 4.85.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Max Johnson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Maiava to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jayden Maiava
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Maiava*, QB, USC ... Projected 40 Time: 4.63.**
  - Kind: Combine Measurements · About: Jayden Maiava
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brendan Sorsby to be picked “Round 1-3”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brendan Sorsby
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Johnson to be picked “Round 3-5”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Johnson
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Noah Fifita to be picked “Round 5-7”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Noah Fifita, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **The top 2027 Quarterback prospects available for the 2027 NFL Draft.**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Darian Mensah — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darian-mensah
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- LaNorris Sellers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lanorris-sellers
- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Drew Mestemaker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drew-mestemaker
- Gunner Stockton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/gunner-stockton
- Brendan Sorsby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brendan-sorsby
- Sam Leavitt — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-leavitt
- Josh Hoover — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-hoover
- Nico Iamaleava — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-iamaleava
- John Mateer — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/john-mateer
- Noah Fifita — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/noah-fifita
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Byrum Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/byrum-brown
- C.J. Carr — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-carr
- Josh Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-johnson
- Jackson Arnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jackson-arnold
- Dante Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dante-moore
- Trinidad Chambliss — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trinidad-chambliss
- Dalyn Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dalyn-williams
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- D.J. Lagway — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-j-lagway
- Max Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-johnson
- Julian Sayin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/julian-sayin
- Jayden Maiava — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-maiava

## What others said about the same people

- David Harrison on Washington Commanders: Harrison lays out a path for the Washington Commanders to exceed their 7.5-win total, identifying eight specific games he projects them to win: home vs. Seattle (Week 3), vs. Indianapolis in London (Week 4), a sweep of the Giants (Weeks 5 and 10), at Arizona (Week 12), at Tennessee (Week 13), vs. Atlanta (Week 15) and vs. Dallas (Week 18). He also says the Bengals (Week 11) and Texans (Week 14) games are winnable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/557473e2-242a-41c5-beb5-026d792d86fa (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Devin Duvernay: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Tim Settle: Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d5b2565-5531-47ac-bff8-ccb9b23a980a (scored 100)
- Donnie Druin on Jalen Brooks: Druin suggests Jalen Brooks has broken out in Cardinals camp and could land a roster spot as Arizona's sixth wide receiver, though he won't displace any of the top wideouts. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a199c40d-87c8-4034-a6a8-e042c68652f3 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)
- Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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