# Rich Hribar: Analyzing historical running back ADP trends, Hribar names which 2026 backs best fit the profiles of dead-zone picks who beat their draft cost (Jeremiyah Love, Cam Skattebo, TreVeyon Henderson, plus veterans Breece Hall and D'Andre Swift), which most resemble historic dead-zone traps (Travis Etienne, Javonte Williams, David Montgomery), which later-round team RB1s are unlikely to pay off, and a list of bench 'darts' he prefers over popular handcuffs like Isiah Pacheco, Brian Robinson and Tank Bigsby. **Claimed:** Aug 4, 2026 **Pundit:** Rich Hribar — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-hribar **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/running-back-adp/ 10 checkable claims — 5 fantasy bust calls and 5 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record. None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in. > The backs who closest resemble historic dead zone traps are Travis Etienne, Javonte Williams , and David Montgomery . *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Cam Skattebo to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Cam Skattebo - Verdict: not settled yet - **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson - Verdict: not settled yet - **Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Breece Hall - Verdict: not settled yet - **D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: D'Andre Swift - Verdict: not settled yet - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rachaad White to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rachaad White - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tony Pollard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Tony Pollard - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Jaylen Warren - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jeremiyah Love to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jeremiyah Love - Verdict: not settled yet - **Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Chuba Hubbard - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Cam Skattebo — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-skattebo - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/breece-hall - D'Andre Swift — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-andre-swift - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Rachaad White — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rachaad-white - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Jaylen Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-warren - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Chuba Hubbard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chuba-hubbard ## What others said about the same people - Justin Penik on Aaron Jones: Pennock predicted Sam Darnold to Pittsburgh, Zach Baun re-signing in Philadelphia, Charvarius Ward and Jamien Sherwood to Washington, Cam Robinson to Chicago as left tackle, Cam Bynum to the Jets, Darius Slayton to the Chargers, Aaron Jones back to Minnesota and Aaron Rodgers to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4af0c93c-46f5-4a2c-ae24-e6ffa81a6559 (scored 100) - Kyle Crabbs on Cam Skattebo: Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e8a40874-e85c-44ec-a4c8-b6f0edbd22d2 (scored 67.71) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zuerlein describes their mock draft 3.0: Carnell Tate to the Giants at No. 5, Sonny Styles falling to the Cowboys at No. 12, and Colton Hood to Dallas at No. 20. They also expect runs on linebackers from the late twenties to about pick 45, defensive tackles from the early-mid twenties into the 40s, and says Ahvion Terrell's 4.65 forty knocks them out of first-round contention. They call Kenyon Saddiq and Mansoor Delaine the safest picks for Dallas, and thinks Delaine's tape is top-four caliber, while Jeremiah Smith could be a generational, Megatron-type receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f8e6478-8ee7-441e-b2d1-d0a10233c34a (scored 67.71) - Danny Parkins on Jeremiyah Love: Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d98bca2f-5fc3-4f68-8389-30f9a2cb906f (scored 95.76) - Nick Wright on Jeremiyah Love: Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c5ad8a4-034f-4abb-8806-20dd9e44b5c6 (scored 95.76) - David Harrison on Jeremiyah Love: Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5cc44fc1-4ff9-447a-9c32-5f715fa6e9ba (scored 95.76) ## More fantasy bust calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wormeli on Zay Flowers: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 0) - Derek Brown on Zay Flowers: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 0) - Chris Welsh on Austin Ekeler: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Rashee Rice: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Tyreek Hill: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Xavier Worthy: Derek Brown ("Deebro") names three busts to avoid in 2025 fantasy drafts: Kyren Williams at an RB1 price, Chuba Hubbard as a top-20 RB, and Xavier Worthy as their ultimate bust, arguing Rashee Rice is the clear No. 1 receiver in Kansas City. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9cc5c06e-e0c5-45bd-8b93-fa089f8673a8 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. 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