# Marcus Mosher: Mosher ranks the top nine quarterbacks expected to hit free agency in March 2024, with Kirk Cousins first and Baker Mayfield second, and forecasts where most of them will land — Mayfield back in Tampa Bay, Minshew back in Indianapolis, Darnold back in San Francisco as a backup, Winston staying in New Orleans as a backup and Huntley remaining a backup with Baltimore. **Claimed:** Jan 19, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-free-agency-ranking-top-9-qbs-on-this-years-market/ 11 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls, 5 trade and signing calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 6 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 95 out of 100, against 86.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > With all the success Mayfield is having in Tampa Bay, it would be a major upset if he didn't land back with the Buccaneers in 2024. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tyler Huntley to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Here are the top nine quarterbacks that are expected to test free agency in March: Ranking Top Free Agent QBs 1. Kirk Cousins ... 9. Tyrod Taylor** - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: scored 78.33 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacoby Brissett to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jacoby Brissett - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tyrod Taylor to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Baker Mayfield to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Gardner Minshew to move to Indianapolis Colts** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Gardner Minshew, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tyler Huntley to move to Baltimore Ravens** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sam Darnold to move to San Francisco 49ers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jameis Winston to move to New Orleans Saints** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Tyler Huntley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-huntley - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jacoby Brissett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacoby-brissett - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Tyrod Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyrod-taylor - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Gardner Minshew — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/gardner-minshew - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1) - Chris Simms on San Francisco 49ers: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 80.95) - Chris Simms on Baltimore Ravens: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Baltimore Ravens: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Marcus Ray on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/aa09b337-f1fa-49b0-bc4b-5e2bbaddb5df (scored 19.05) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Garrett Podell on Case Keenum: Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e92b59e-0dd1-43c3-80c1-6551a8b641ac (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3aff6d9f-b997-480e-b323-740b6a4677ed (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7726bb2f-b9aa-4c35-aa7b-e0b49990e867 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Jonah Coleman: In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2cbd48f6-15ea-4aa5-84bc-bcc50d94d09a (scored 0) - Fox Sports on Michael Penix Jr.: Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a90e69a8-707f-43e9-a63e-cdb3e7bd0829 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Aaron Jones: In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/31adc8bb-8f15-453f-bbcf-cab44e29b8b3 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher