# Marcus Mosher: Mosher ranks the top nine quarterbacks expected to hit free agency in March 2024, with Kirk Cousins first and Baker Mayfield second, and forecasts where most of them will land — Mayfield back in Tampa Bay, Minshew back in Indianapolis, Darnold back in San Francisco as a backup, Winston staying in New Orleans as a backup and Huntley remaining a backup with Baltimore. **Claimed:** Jan 19, 2024 **Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher **Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-free-agency-ranking-top-9-qbs-on-this-years-market/ 11 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls, 5 trade and signing calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 6 of 11 have settled so far, averaging 95 out of 100, against 86.1 for a naive guess at the same calls. > With all the success Mayfield is having in Tampa Bay, it would be a major upset if he didn't land back with the Buccaneers in 2024. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Tyler Huntley to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - “Here are the top nine quarterbacks that are expected to test free agency in March: Ranking Top Free Agent QBs 1. Kirk Cousins ... 9. Tyrod Taylor” - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: scored 78.33 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jacoby Brissett to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jacoby Brissett - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Jameis Winston to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tyrod Taylor to be 2nd on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tyrod Taylor - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Gardner Minshew to move to Indianapolis Colts** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Gardner Minshew, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jameis Winston to move to New Orleans Saints** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jameis Winston, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: not settled yet - **Baker Mayfield to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Sam Darnold to move to San Francisco 49ers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Tyler Huntley to move to Baltimore Ravens** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Tyler Huntley, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Tyler Huntley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-huntley - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Jacoby Brissett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacoby-brissett - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Jameis Winston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jameis-winston - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Tyrod Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyrod-taylor - Gardner Minshew — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/gardner-minshew - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers ## What others said about the same people - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; they also argue the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing them to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100) - Brandon Carney on Mike Evans: Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c228a7e7-4915-4bc7-bacc-8c9b3298c2c1 (scored 0) - Dalton Feely on Chris Godwin Jr.: Feenie predicted Chris Godwin stays in Tampa Bay, Josh Sweat reunites with Jonathan Gannon in Arizona, Ronnie Stanley signs with New England, Jevon Holland lands in Indianapolis, Khalil Mack joins Washington, Asante Samuel Jr. goes to San Francisco, Najee Harris to the Raiders and Bobby Wagner to Dallas. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5456472e-edf1-49c5-9f6b-bd59183fcea7 (scored 100) - Rich Eisen on Sam Darnold: Eisen expects Sam Darnold to remain in Minnesota rather than leave in free agency, and believes the Browns will trade Myles Garrett out of the conference, to an NFC team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2bab8f84-0dc0-4acd-88d5-539898948d95 (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on San Francisco 49ers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 83.33) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0) - Michael Moore on Shedeur Sanders: In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e26319a3-10aa-49a6-a24d-a257521363f0 (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Shedeur Sanders: Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dad75dd-1818-4a6a-91ea-832f491c2530 (scored 100) - Garrett Podell on Carson Beck: Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace them as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2f499498-ebbe-41f8-8ea3-41fe96f79432 (scored 0) - Jacob Herlin on J.J. McCarthy: Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf4a2992-3760-464e-b540-6182ebc4457f (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher