# Richard Sherman: Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. They also expect Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though they hedge that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen. **Claimed:** Jan 25, 2025 **Pundit:** Richard Sherman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/richard-sherman **Outlet:** The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-richard-sherman-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-richard-sherman-podcast/richard-sherman-podcast-nfl-championship-round-pre 11 checkable claims — 4 trade and signing calls, 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 11 have settled, averaging 59.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > But I gotta go with Kansas City. I think Kansas City finds a way to get this done. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Detroit Lions to finish with 15–16 wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 5 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to New York Jets** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Charvarius Ward to move to San Francisco 49ers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Charvarius Ward, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to Las Vegas Raiders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to move to New York Giants** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Sam Darnold, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia Eagles** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 26, 2025): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (31%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Buffalo Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Jan 26, 2025): Chiefs by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Chiefs 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Sam Darnold to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam Darnold, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Sam Darnold — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-darnold - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Charvarius Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/charvarius-ward - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Saquon Barkley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/saquon-barkley - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24) - Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Patricia Traina on J.J. McCarthy: Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b638ed13-01ca-4ea6-9384-ec7130f912c1 (scored 100) - Michael David Smith on Keenan Allen: Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/52d7108f-f754-44e8-9bf3-cc3336b4e5f7 (scored 100) - Noah Compton on Josh Downs: Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97a66c60-b5a2-4503-a0c2-aa0181552557 (scored 100) - Mike Fanelli on Keenan Allen: Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/22dd9803-d10f-4aa9-99d1-b0ef1a22f778 (scored 100) - Jordan Schultz on Josh Downs: Schultz expects Jonathan Taylor to be traded for at least a second-round pick plus additional compensation, and believes Josh Downs will ultimately be dealt for a fourth-round pick rather than the third the Colts are seeking. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d7c8d17-c4d1-4eda-b469-070134b39a6a (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=richard-sherman