# Chris Simms: Simms picked Pittsburgh to win a close, low-scoring Thursday night game in Cleveland by a late field goal, 20-17, and expected Joey Porter Jr.'s market value to land in the low-to-mid $20 million range, with a possible franchise tag from Dallas after the season. **Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026 **Pundit:** Chris Simms — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms **Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/6c1e8aaa-b9be-40ea-9591-b4d6010ceb9d/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b 3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 75 out of 100, against 47.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna take the Steelers in this one twenty to 17 late game win field goal like that. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Pittsburgh Steelers 20 — Browns 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 95.04 for a naive guess - **Joey Porter Jr. to move to Dallas Cowboys** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Joey Porter Jr., Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Joey Porter to move — “contract claim: "somewhere in the low to mid twenties as far as what his worth is as a corner"”** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Joey Porter - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Joey Porter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joey-porter-jr - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Joey Porter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/joey-porter ## What others said about the same people - Jeff Cavanaugh on Hunter Luepke: Jeff projected the Cowboys' offensive 53-man roster: nine offensive linemen (with Bass, Shelton, Leverett and Cornelius as the depth pieces and Nate Thomas and Keegan cut), three tight ends, Javonte Williams and Malik Davis atop the backfield, and five receivers with Mingo in and Camden Brown headed to the practice squad. He also gave reception and passing projections and said Jayshawn Barham will be starting before long. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c7f7c9cc-4c5c-4060-a83b-61416816422c (scored 100) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Jonathan Bullard: Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20c4eda-eab4-4a8c-ba13-0e120fdd7d91 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Pittsburgh Steelers: Wright called the Chiefs the NFL's best team and predicted they'd control the Raiders on the road en route to the 12-5 season he had forecast, while also picking the Steelers, Bills and Vikings in Week 4. He expects Tyreek Hill to return to Kansas City, with his Arrowhead return coming Nov. 8 against the Jets, and sees Josh Simmons missing Week 4 but back by the Seahawks game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1084e46f-ca77-4c03-9425-ac0fa5492de2 (scored 0) - Ty Schmit on Pittsburgh Steelers: Schmidt picked the Steelers to beat the Browns, arguing teams missing multiple offensive line starters play badly against fronts like Pittsburgh's, and he also said he doesn't believe Jerry Jones will pay Joey Porter Jr. right away in Dallas. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/82e62b39-211f-43a1-95fc-a260faf4b4a4 (scored 0) - Chuck Pagano on Pittsburgh Steelers: Pagano picked the Steelers to win Thursday night in Cleveland, citing Pittsburgh's pass rush against a patched-together Browns offensive line and expecting a low-scoring rivalry game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf66fb18-c5a0-43d4-aa30-388d02edc42e (scored 0) - AJ Hawk on Pittsburgh Steelers: Hawk said his instincts were on Pittsburgh from the start and he stuck with the Steelers to win in Cleveland on Thursday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44d77c6f-361c-434f-af25-75e959afb410 (scored 0) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Moraitis on Jaylon Johnson: Moraitis predicts that if Jaylon Johnson's poor play continues, the Bears will release him next offseason given the contract out they hold. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07606c60-8b8a-4f02-b967-72d4273b5c7e (scored 0) - Zachary Pereles on Kader Kohou: After Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson landed on IR, Pereles argues Carolina must add cornerback help and lists five specific players the Panthers could sign or trade for: Trevon Diggs, Shaun Wade, Tre'Davious White, Kader Kohou and Darrell Luter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2ca71d82-67b6-4ea9-8b3f-daedb406efc1 (scored 0) - Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0) - Steve Kubitza on Za'Darius Smith: Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54fca826-8644-4e76-bc3f-5d8d44bcca23 (scored 100) - Mary Kay Cabot on Za'Darius Smith: Cabot reported that Za'Darius Smith is expected to sign with the Browns, possibly as early as Sunday, after working out for the team. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3eb50e55-cb33-43c3-a427-d47904beb7bb (scored 0) - Brandon Carney on Austin Ekeler: Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c4d477da-4fb8-4a25-a904-c5057a249a70 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-simms