# Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 70.97%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 38.41
- **Graded articles:** 10
- **Graded individual calls:** 47
- **Pundits contributing:** 7
- **Clarity:** 100%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Michael Knowles](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-knowles): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 101 (provisional)
- [Ryan Grim](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ryan-grim): 7 graded across 3 articles, 68.67% accuracy, score 50.33 (provisional)
- [Saagar Enjeti](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/saagar-enjeti): 15 graded across 6 articles, 76.35% accuracy, score 37.49 (provisional)
- [Emily Jashinsky](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/emily-jashinsky): 3 graded across 1 article, 33.33% accuracy, score 33.33 (provisional)
- [Logan Phillips](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-phillips): 4 graded across 2 articles, 37.5% accuracy, score 25 (provisional)
- [Dave Weigel](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dave-weigel): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Krystal Ball](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/krystal-ball): 16 graded across 5 articles, 36% accuracy, score -22.9 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 42 graded of 46 logged, averaging 50
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 42.8
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 1 graded of 2 logged, averaging 100

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar
Their site: https://www.omnycontent.com/d/playlist/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/e7fd5ae7-7621-4e41-9b85-b0ab0164b634/4c1a5135-4197-47c9-b19b-b0ab0164b667/podcast.rss