# First Things First (podcast) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 54.62%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 20.83
- **Graded articles:** 16
- **Graded individual calls:** 277
- **Pundits contributing:** 9
- **Clarity:** 95.2%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Kevin Wildes](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kevin-wildes): 19 graded across 11 articles, 42.75% accuracy, score 19.59 (limited)
- [Willie Colon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/willie-colon): 10 graded across 5 articles, 53.57% accuracy, score 17.45 (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright): 445 graded across 71 articles, 59.6% accuracy, score 16.01 (established)
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-jennings): 22 graded across 6 articles, 37.9% accuracy, score 3.3 (provisional)
- [Dwight Freeney](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dwight-freeney): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard): 29 graded across 8 articles, 47.17% accuracy, score -9.32 (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins): 99 graded across 19 articles, 54.99% accuracy, score -9.53 (limited)
- [Geoff Schwartz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/geoff-schwartz): 7 graded across 3 articles, 25.83% accuracy, score -35.44 (provisional)
- [Eric Mangini](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-mangini): 18 graded across 8 articles, 27.25% accuracy, score -59.51 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Mock Draft Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position): 119 graded of 128 logged, averaging 74.1
- [Game Outcome Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-outcome): 104 graded of 109 logged, averaging 46.2
- [Playoff Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-berth): 0 graded of 83 logged
- [Division Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/division-winner): 1 graded of 42 logged, averaging 0
- [Season Win Totals](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/season-win-total): 0 graded of 42 logged
- [Award Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-award): 9 graded of 36 logged, averaging 11.1
- [Player Season Numbers](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-season-stat): 6 graded of 18 logged, averaging 31.9
- [Conference Champions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/conference-champion): 2 graded of 18 logged, averaging 50
- [Score Predictions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-score): 16 graded of 16 logged, averaging 54
- [Super Bowl Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/super-bowl-pick): 8 graded of 15 logged, averaging 62.5
- [Depth Chart Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/depth-chart): 0 graded of 15 logged
- [Positional Finishes](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-positional-finish): 0 graded of 12 logged
- [Trade and Signing Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-movement): 4 graded of 11 logged, averaging 75
- [Surprise Team Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/surprise-team): 0 graded of 9 logged
- [Seeding, Byes and Home Field](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-seeding): 1 graded of 6 logged, averaging 0
- [Position Order Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/draft-positional-order): 5 graded of 5 logged, averaging 100
- [Top Player Lists](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/top-players-list): 1 graded of 3 logged, averaging 0
- [Team Draft Slot Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/team-draft-slot): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Position Group Finish](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/position-group-finish): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-accolade): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 0
- [Power Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/power-rankings): 0 graded of 1 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
Their site: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/first-things-first/id1277873664