# First Things First (podcast) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 55.78%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 25.39
- **Graded articles:** 22
- **Graded individual calls:** 333
- **Pundits contributing:** 10
- **Clarity:** 95.41%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [First Things First](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/first-things-first): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 167 (provisional)
- [Kevin Wildes](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kevin-wildes): 32 graded across 16 articles, 41.89% accuracy, score 18.47 (limited)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright): 403 graded across 80 articles, 58.97% accuracy, score 18.09 (established)
- [Willie Colon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/willie-colon): 10 graded across 5 articles, 53.57% accuracy, score 17.45 (provisional)
- [Dwight Freeney](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dwight-freeney): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins): 109 graded across 24 articles, 58.87% accuracy, score -9.17 (limited)
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-broussard): 39 graded across 14 articles, 48.46% accuracy, score -16.36 (limited)
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/greg-jennings): 31 graded across 9 articles, 37.3% accuracy, score -17.07 (provisional)
- [Geoff Schwartz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/geoff-schwartz): 7 graded across 3 articles, 25.83% accuracy, score -35.44 (provisional)
- [Eric Mangini](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/eric-mangini): 27 graded across 10 articles, 30.3% accuracy, score -42.82 (limited)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Game Outcome Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-outcome): 161 graded of 165 logged, averaging 47.2
- [Mock Draft Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position): 119 graded of 131 logged, averaging 74.1
- [Playoff Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-berth): 0 graded of 94 logged
- [Season Win Totals](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/season-win-total): 0 graded of 45 logged
- [Division Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/division-winner): 1 graded of 44 logged, averaging 0
- [Award Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-award): 9 graded of 36 logged, averaging 11.1
- [Conference Champions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/conference-champion): 2 graded of 27 logged, averaging 50
- [Score Predictions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-score): 19 graded of 19 logged, averaging 51
- [Super Bowl Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/super-bowl-pick): 8 graded of 16 logged, averaging 62.5
- [Depth Chart Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/depth-chart): 0 graded of 16 logged
- [Player Season Numbers](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-season-stat): 3 graded of 15 logged, averaging 63.9
- [Positional Finishes](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-positional-finish): 0 graded of 13 logged
- [Trade and Signing Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-movement): 3 graded of 11 logged, averaging 100
- [Surprise Team Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/surprise-team): 0 graded of 9 logged
- [Seeding, Byes and Home Field](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-seeding): 1 graded of 7 logged, averaging 0
- [Position Order Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/draft-positional-order): 5 graded of 6 logged, averaging 100
- [Position Group Finish](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/position-group-finish): 0 graded of 5 logged
- [Top Player Lists](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/top-players-list): 1 graded of 3 logged, averaging 0
- [Contract Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-contract): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Team Draft Slot Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/team-draft-slot): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Power Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/power-rankings): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Availability Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-availability): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-accolade): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
Their site: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/first-things-first/id1277873664