# Hacks On Tap — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 11.11%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 5.56
- **Graded articles:** 3
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [David Axelrod](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-axelrod): 2 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 50 (provisional)
- [Mike Murphy](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-murphy): 4 graded across 3 articles, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [John Heilemann](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-heilemann): 1 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 7 graded of 11 logged, averaging 28.6
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 0 graded of 2 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/hacks-on-tap
Their site: https://feeds.megaphone.fm/VMP7545057845