# Newt's World — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 87.25%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 56.69
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 31
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Newt Gingrich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/newt-gingrich): 7 graded across 2 articles, 84.64% accuracy, score 65.69 (provisional)
- [Seth Keshel](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-keshel): 15 graded across 1 article, 94.55% accuracy, score 32.42 (provisional)
- [Sean Spicer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sean-spicer): 15 graded across 2 articles, 80.56% accuracy, score 30.72 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 23 graded of 23 logged, averaging 87
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 7 graded of 8 logged, averaging 86.6
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/newt-s-world
Their site: https://www.omnycontent.com/d/playlist/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/0b197502-72fe-4046-b7b3-ae27016ec147/8b19f8a8-4942-4dd1-b38d-ae27016ec151/podcast.rss