# Overreaction Monday (podcast) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 59.8%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 28.57
- **Graded articles:** 57
- **Graded individual calls:** 423
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 95.57%

This is an established record: 30 or more graded articles.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Daniel Jeremiah](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/daniel-jeremiah): 277 graded across 41 articles, 75.27% accuracy, score 32.65 (established)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman): 286 graded across 88 articles, 59.62% accuracy, score 23 (established)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen): 491 graded across 140 articles, 61.89% accuracy, score 21.49 (established)
- [Akbar Gbaja-Biamila](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/akbar-gbaja-biamila): 10 graded across 4 articles, 38.1% accuracy, score -33.56 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Playoff Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-berth): 87 graded of 112 logged, averaging 73.6
- [Division Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/division-winner): 53 graded of 89 logged, averaging 41.5
- [Award Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-award): 28 graded of 80 logged, averaging 28.6
- [Depth Chart Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/depth-chart): 31 graded of 64 logged, averaging 96
- [Game Outcome Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-outcome): 52 graded of 55 logged, averaging 69.9
- [Mock Draft Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position): 38 graded of 49 logged, averaging 79.4
- [Conference Champions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/conference-champion): 32 graded of 39 logged, averaging 26.6
- [Season Win Totals](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/season-win-total): 23 graded of 34 logged, averaging 47
- [Trade and Signing Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-movement): 6 graded of 31 logged, averaging 66.7
- [Positional Finishes](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-positional-finish): 17 graded of 28 logged, averaging 61.3
- [Player Season Numbers](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-season-stat): 7 graded of 27 logged, averaging 55.3
- [Seeding, Byes and Home Field](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/playoff-seeding): 19 graded of 24 logged, averaging 31.6
- [Surprise Team Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/surprise-team): 0 graded of 17 logged
- [Team Draft Slot Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/team-draft-slot): 7 graded of 16 logged, averaging 84.4
- [Coach Award Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/coach-award): 7 graded of 9 logged, averaging 28.6
- [Power Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/power-rankings): 7 graded of 8 logged, averaging 39.3
- [Super Bowl Picks](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/super-bowl-pick): 5 graded of 7 logged, averaging 40
- [Roster Spot Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/roster-spot): 0 graded of 7 logged
- [Contract Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-contract): 0 graded of 6 logged
- [Availability Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-availability): 0 graded of 3 logged
- [Position Group Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/position-group-rankings): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-accolade): 0 graded of 2 logged
- [Top Player Lists](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/top-players-list): 1 graded of 2 logged, averaging 68.8
- [Position Order Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/draft-positional-order): 2 graded of 2 logged, averaging 100
- [Fantasy Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/fantasy-draft-ranking): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Head Coach Rankings](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/head-coach-rankings): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Draft Bust Calls](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/draft-bust): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Score Predictions](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/game-score): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 88.1

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast
Their site: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/overreaction-monday/id1702011138
