# Politics Politics Politics (Justin Robert Young) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 56.41%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 16.22
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 38
- **Pundits contributing:** 9
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Mark Sutton](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-sutton): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 101 (provisional)
- [Steve Bannon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-bannon): 6 graded across 3 articles, 100% accuracy, score 94.78 (provisional)
- [Michael Cohen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-cohen): 4 graded across 1 article, 75% accuracy, score 25 (provisional)
- [Kirk Bado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kirk-bado): 7 graded across 2 articles, 72.42% accuracy, score 22.42 (provisional)
- [Bill Scher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-scher): 13 graded across 1 article, 52% accuracy, score 6.46 (provisional)
- [Andrew Heaton](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-heaton): 3 graded across 1 article, 25% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Gabe Fleisher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gabe-fleisher): 3 graded across 1 article, 25% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Tom LoBianco](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-lobianco): 1 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Justin Robert Young](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/justin-robert-young): 8 graded across 4 articles, 68.75% accuracy, score -4.67 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 24 graded of 33 logged, averaging 58.3
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 13 graded of 19 logged, averaging 53.8
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 56

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/politics-politics-politics-justin-robert-young
Their site: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/3108447/s/155197.rss