# Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 54.48%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -11.75
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 12
- **Pundits contributing:** 1
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Sam Wang](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-wang): 12 graded across 2 articles, 54.48% accuracy, score -11.75 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 8 graded of 8 logged, averaging 75
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 2 graded of 2 logged, averaging 55
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 0
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 87.9

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/princeton-election-consortium-sam-wang
Their site: https://election.princeton.edu/