# RealClearPolitics Podcast — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 95.75%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 49.39
- **Graded articles:** 10
- **Graded individual calls:** 23
- **Pundits contributing:** 7
- **Clarity:** 100%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [AB Stoddard](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ab-stoddard): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 102 (provisional)
- [Henry Olsen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/henry-olsen): 4 graded across 2 articles, 97.5% accuracy, score 54.67 (provisional)
- [Tom Bevan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-bevan): 4 graded across 4 articles, 100% accuracy, score 51 (provisional)
- [Sean Trende](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sean-trende): 2 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 50 (provisional)
- [Carl Cannon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/carl-cannon): 13 graded across 6 articles, 97.25% accuracy, score 38.38 (provisional)
- [Lanny Davis](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lanny-davis): 1 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Phil Wegman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/phil-wegman): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 19 graded of 29 logged, averaging 94.7
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 0 graded of 5 logged
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 2 graded of 4 logged, averaging 100
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 2 graded of 2 logged, averaging 91.8

---

Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/realclearpolitics-podcast
Their site: https://feeds.simplecast.com/pzzjlbXr