# Split Ticket — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 65.26%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 15.15
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 60
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Harrison Lavelle](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/harrison-lavelle): 3 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 33.33 (provisional)
- [Lakshya Jain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lakshya-jain): 58 graded across 4 articles, 49.99% accuracy, score 6.38 (provisional)
- [Max McCall](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/max-mccall): 2 graded across 1 article, 50% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 50 graded of 50 logged, averaging 70
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 50
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 80
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 2 graded of 3 logged, averaging 62

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/split-ticket
Their site: https://split-ticket.org/