# State of the Union (CNN) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 71.21%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 32.48
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 21
- **Pundits contributing:** 6
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Bakari Sellers](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bakari-sellers): 6 graded across 2 articles, 100% accuracy, score 57.25 (provisional)
- [State of the Union (CNN)](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/state-of-the-union-cnn): 5 graded across 2 articles, 83.33% accuracy, score 50.32 (provisional)
- [John King](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-king): 3 graded across 1 article, 85% accuracy, score 32.5 (provisional)
- [Michael Smerconish](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-smerconish): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Ronna Romney McDaniel](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ronna-romney-mcdaniel): 3 graded across 1 article, 25% accuracy, score -25.25 (provisional)
- [Marc Short](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marc-short): 3 graded across 1 article, 15% accuracy, score -70 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 11 graded of 12 logged, averaging 81.8
- [Control of Congress](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 7 graded of 7 logged, averaging 57.1
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 2 graded of 3 logged, averaging 57.5
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/state-of-the-union-cnn
Their site: https://feeds.megaphone.fm/WMHY9982360035