# Steve Deace Show — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 94.67%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 71.71
- **Graded articles:** 11
- **Graded individual calls:** 46
- **Pundits contributing:** 6
- **Clarity:** 98.57%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Douglas Wilson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/douglas-wilson): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 102 (provisional)
- [Steve Deace Show](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-deace-show): 2 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 101 (provisional)
- [Steve Deace](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-deace): 29 graded across 8 articles, 95.06% accuracy, score 76.26 (provisional)
- [Scott Rasmussen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/scott-rasmussen): 3 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 68 (provisional)
- [Bob Vander Plaats](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bob-vander-plaats): 3 graded across 2 articles, 86.98% accuracy, score 46.22 (provisional)
- [Daniel Horowitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/daniel-horowitz): 8 graded across 2 articles, 84.17% accuracy, score 41.47 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 27 graded of 29 logged, averaging 85.2
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 7 graded of 10 logged, averaging 100
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 8 graded of 10 logged, averaging 85.5
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 4 graded of 7 logged, averaging 78.8

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/steve-deace-show
Their site: https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BMDC3578899879