# Tangle (newsletter) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 79.17%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 54.75
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Isaac Saul](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/isaac-saul): 18 graded across 9 articles, 79.63% accuracy, score 75.96 (provisional)
- [Simon Rosenberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/simon-rosenberg): 2 graded across 2 articles, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Mariel Garza](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mariel-garza): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 6 graded of 6 logged, averaging 66.7
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 0 graded of 1 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/tangle-newsletter
Their site: https://www.readtangle.com/