# Tangle (podcast) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 76.39%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 70.28
- **Graded articles:** 6
- **Graded individual calls:** 15
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Elizabeth Stauffer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/elizabeth-stauffer): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 100 (provisional)
- [Isaac Saul](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/isaac-saul): 18 graded across 9 articles, 79.63% accuracy, score 75.96 (provisional)
- [Simon Rosenberg](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/simon-rosenberg): 2 graded across 2 articles, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 12 graded of 12 logged, averaging 66.7
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 2 graded of 2 logged, averaging 50
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 1 graded of 2 logged, averaging 100

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/tangle-podcast
Their site: https://feeds.acast.com/public/shows/66510864c0852400122bc7be