# The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 59.26%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 45.51
- **Graded articles:** 7
- **Graded individual calls:** 23
- **Pundits contributing:** 7
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [David French](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-french): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 102 (provisional)
- [Mehdi Hasan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mehdi-hasan): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 100 (provisional)
- [David Frum](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-frum): 3 graded across 1 article, 86% accuracy, score 37 (provisional)
- [Tim Miller](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tim-miller): 12 graded across 6 articles, 40.28% accuracy, score 33.08 (provisional)
- [Lakshya Jain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lakshya-jain): 58 graded across 4 articles, 49.99% accuracy, score 6.38 (provisional)
- [Bill Kristol](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-kristol): 2 graded across 2 articles, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Bret Stephens](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bret-stephens): 2 graded across 1 article, 50% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Tommy Vietor](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tommy-vietor): 1 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score -102 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 16 graded of 17 logged, averaging 37.5
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 75
- [Race Margins](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-margin): 3 graded of 4 logged, averaging 66.6
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 0 graded of 1 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-bulwark-podcast-feed-title-the-bulwark-daily
Their site: https://audioboom.com/channels/5114286.rss