# The Downballot (newsletter) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 9
- **Pundits contributing:** 1
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [David Nir](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-nir): 9 graded across 5 articles, 100% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 9 graded of 14 logged, averaging 100
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 0 graded of 2 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-downballot-newsletter
Their site: https://www.the-downballot.com/