# The Inside Elections Podcast — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 92.12%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 43.86
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 25
- **Pundits contributing:** 3
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and the publisher is excluded from rankings.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Nathan Gonzales](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nathan-gonzales): 10 graded across 2 articles, 97.22% accuracy, score 55.25 (provisional)
- [Jacob Rubashkin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jacob-rubashkin): 12 graded across 2 articles, 80.36% accuracy, score 25.96 (provisional)
- [Kirk Bado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kirk-bado): 7 graded across 2 articles, 72.42% accuracy, score 22.42 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Race Winners](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/race-winner): 20 graded of 20 logged, averaging 80
- [Chamber Control](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control): 3 graded of 3 logged, averaging 100
- [Seat Counts](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-seats): 1 graded of 3 logged, averaging 100
- [Seats Most Likely to Flip](https://missedtakes.co/predictions/ranked-flips): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 89.7

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-inside-elections-podcast
Their site: https://feeds.captivate.fm/inside-elections/