# Chiefs: Pundits Have Nailed the 5-0 Start, But Missed Last Year's Collapse by a Mile | MissedTakes Daily

*Published 2026-10-25 — MissedTakes*

*Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing.*

## How are pundits grading on the Chiefs right now?

Pundits have been close to unanimous on Kansas City all season, and they have been right every time. Every tracked game-outcome and score call we've graded on the Chiefs in 2026 has landed at 100 accuracy, covering the team's run to 5-0. Before beating the Chargers 22-6 in Week 6, [Jordan Foote](/pundits/jordan-foote) put his confidence in Kansas City at "8.8 out of 10," and [Nick Wright](/pundits/nick-wright) said the team was "too foundationally sound... to lose this game" (Oct. 16). Before the Week 4 win over the Raiders (30-27), Tyler Brown argued Kansas City had "too many weapons and too much experience in close games to let this one slip away" (Oct. 4). Both calls graded perfectly.

That streak sits inside a wider Chiefs file that is far less clean. Across every graded Game Outcome Pick on Kansas City (108 of them, spanning this season and last), the average accuracy is 85.2, a figure the current unbeaten run is dragging up. Season-defining Chiefs calls, by contrast, have graded far worse: Playoff Picks sit at 15.8% accuracy, Division Winner calls at 15.8%, and Season Win Totals at just 10%, all weighed down by 2025, when Kansas City finished 6-11 and missed the playoffs.

## Which pundits have the Chiefs right most often?

Among pundits with at least five graded Chiefs calls, Daniel Jeremiah's record tops the list at 82.9% accuracy (11 graded), with Richard Sherman next at 70.9% (13 graded). At the other end, Brady Quinn has graded at just 11.1% (9 graded) and Rich Eisen at 18% across the largest sample on the list, 28 graded calls.

| Pundit | Graded Chiefs calls | Accuracy |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| Daniel Jeremiah | 11 | 82.9% |
| [Richard Sherman](/pundits/richard-sherman) | 13 | 70.9% |
| [Nick Wright](/pundits/nick-wright) | 48 | 54.3% |
| Derek Brown | 9 | 52.6% |
| [Chris Clark](/pundits/chris-clark) | 16 | 50.9% |
| Gregg Rosenthal | 10 | 48.9% |
| Locked On Chiefs (podcast) | 9 | 47.2% |
| Kyle Crabbs | 9 | 41.8% |
| [Colin Cowherd](/pundits/colin-cowherd) | 25 | 31.3% |
| Ryan Tracy | 11 | 31.2% |
| [Rich Eisen](/pundits/rich-eisen) | 28 | 18.0% |
| Brady Quinn | 9 | 11.1% |

![Daniel Jeremiah leads, Rich Eisen and Brady Quinn trail](/posts/visuals/969f6758-569c-4cf7-911b-803b22c14b6f.png)

## Why did the field miss Kansas City's 2025 collapse so badly?

Kansas City's 2025 season win total drew some of the widest misses we've tracked for any team: the field's collective call came in 6.4 wins over what the Chiefs actually won, the single largest win-total miss on record for a 2025 team. Rich Eisen alone made five separate win-total calls on the Chiefs that year, ranging from 10 to 15 wins; Kansas City finished at 6. Brady Quinn called 14 wins, Nick Wright and Danny Parkins both called 13, and Colin Cowherd called 10.

![Rich Eisen never budged off a double-digit Chiefs win total](/posts/visuals/f401384b-fb96-4a6c-be20-5f53bc613ac1.png)

That history helps explain why so many of last year's season-long Chiefs calls missed completely once the results came in: Craig Stout's call that "better execution" would return Kansas City to the playoffs, Kyle Brandt's and Colin Cowherd's playoff-berth picks, and Rich Eisen's preseason Super Bowl pick all scored zero accuracy once Kansas City finished outside the playoff field entirely.

## Where are this year's Chiefs calls most unsettled?

Receiver is the shakiest position in the Chiefs' room by the numbers: calls about Kansas City wideouts have graded at just 44.7% accuracy across 41 graded takes, worse than any other position with a real sample. That tracks with the uncertainty hanging over the receiver room: Rashee Rice has missed time with what Matt Harmon called a Chiefs receiver room "probably not gonna have Rashee Rice in this one" (Oct. 22), while Mark Morales-Smith has twice reiterated that Xavier Worthy, not Rice, is "locked in" as the top target. Tackle calls have held up far better (83% accuracy, 26 graded), and cornerback calls aren't far behind (68.1%, 16 graded).

Newer, ungraded calls worth watching: Eva Geitheim argues Kenneth Walker III is "on track" to give Kansas City its first 1,000-yard rusher of the Mahomes era (Oct. 23), and most of the field, including John Breech, Matt Harmon, Nate Tice and Jordan Dajani, has Kansas City winning at Seattle in Week 7. The season hasn't settled either call yet.

## What else landed across the league this week?

Pundits logged 420 graded calls over the past week, most of them game-outcome and score picks (258 and 123, respectively), with roster-spot calls supplying the week's most extreme results in both directions. Nathan Jahnke's PFF depth-chart recap, Jared Koch's pair of Texans receiver calls, John Middlekauff's Patriots-and-Colts playoff call and Marcus Mosher's Week 1 power rankings all graded perfectly. On the other end, preseason 53-man roster projections for the 49ers and Dolphins from Brian Peacock, Tom Jensen, Jose Sanchez and Alain Poupart all missed completely.

Kansas City's win-total miss wasn't the league's only big one from last season: Washington's field call missed by 5.2 wins, and Denver, New England and Seattle were each off by 5 wins in the other direction, undershooting teams that outperformed expectations. For how every tracked pundit stacks up overall, see the [leaderboard](/nfl/leaderboard).