# Georgia's Senate Field Triples to Fifteen, All of Them Picking Ossoff | MissedTakes Election Brief

*Published 2026-10-26 — MissedTakes*

*Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing.*

## Who's unanimous on Georgia's Senate race?

All 15 pundits who have called the [2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia](/elections/races/2026-senate-ga) picked [Jon Ossoff](/elections/candidates/jon-ossoff), up from 4 of 4 four weeks ago. Both forecasters on the race and all 13 talkers agree, and the outside readings match them: Polymarket prices Ossoff at 96 cents to Mike Collins' 4, and VoteHub's three-poll average through October 20 has Ossoff ahead by 7.7 points.

![Georgia's field tripled in four weeks without splitting once](/posts/visuals/9d690b15-c1c7-4903-838f-5528d884245b.png)

The forecasters are [David Nir](/pundits/david-nir), who carries a 96.3 accuracy record and a MissedTakes Score of -0.5 from last cycle (above zero means a call beat picking the favorite; Nir's is just below that line), and G. Elliott Morris, who we have not yet graded from a prior cycle. Morris called the race "pretty much a done deal" on September 17 and "very likely" three times since. [Ryan Girdusky](/pundits/ryan-girdusky), who carries a 63.6 accuracy record from last cycle, called it "very likely by a big number" on September 30, two weeks before the rest of the field caught up to him. [Tom Bevan](/pundits/tom-bevan), whose 97.6 accuracy and 52.7 MissedTakesScore from last cycle are among the better records we track, picked Ossoff on September 22 and again September 28.

## Where does Maine's Senate field disagree with the market?

Maine is the one Senate race this week where the outside readings and most of the field point different directions. Polymarket prices [Troy Jackson](/elections/candidates/troy-jackson) at 60 cents to Susan Collins' 40, and VoteHub's poll average has Jackson ahead by 2.3 points through October 20. But the field itself favors Collins, 9 picks to 5, with talkers alone splitting 9 for Collins to 4 for Jackson. The single forecaster on the race, who picked Jackson, is the only pundit siding with both the market and the polls. [Isaac Saul](/pundits/isaac-saul), who carries a 79.4 accuracy record and a 46.6 MissedTakesScore from last cycle, picked Jackson on October 8 and again October 22; [Buck Sexton](/pundits/buck-sexton), at 59.9 accuracy last cycle, has had Collins since September 17.

## What arrived this week?

Chuck Todd, the field's most active caller with 113 calls this cycle and 36 in the past week, added two new races on October 26: Mary Peltola in Alaska's Senate race and Shannon Taylor in Virginia's 1st House district, saying of Taylor, "I'd probably make them the favorite there." Ronna Romney McDaniel entered the board on October 25 with Republican for Senate control, Democratic for House control, and Mike Rogers in Michigan's Senate race. Matthew Yglesias made his first calls of the cycle on October 26, picking Maura Healey in Massachusetts' governor's race and Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi's Senate race.

Senate control itself keeps growing: 24 pundits have called it, up from 7 four weeks ago, with Republican now ahead 13 to 11 after leading 5 to 2 a month earlier. Forecasters split 2 Democratic to 1 Republican on control of the Senate, while talkers lean Republican, 12 to 9.

## On the record

The 2026 cycle holds 593 calls from 93 pundits so far, with 106 arriving in the past week alone and 11 new since our last brief. None of this cycle's calls are graded yet, eight days before Election Day. For the full tally race by race, see the [US Elections hub](/elections) and the [Election leaderboard](/elections/leaderboard).
