# Browns 13, Ravens 10: Only One Pundit Saw Cleveland Coming

*Published 2026-10-18 — MissedTakes*

*Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing.*

The [Cleveland Browns](/nfl/teams/browns) beat the [Baltimore Ravens](/nfl/teams/ravens) 13-10 in Week 6, and almost none of the pundits we track picked it. Of the 19 pundits whose picks settled this game, 18 took the Ravens to win; only one sided with Cleveland. We graded 21 calls on this game in total, including six published scores, and the field's average accuracy came out to 21 out of 100, a rough week for a game that was decided by a field goal.

## How lopsided was the pre-game field?

Eighteen of 19 pundits picked the Ravens to win in Cleveland; one picked the Browns. That single Browns believer was [Mitchell Eisenstein](/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein), who wrote simply: "Something about Cleveland at home in a divisional matchup. Give me Cleveland." His pick matches our naive default for this game, which simply takes the home team, so while Eisenstein's call was accurate, it didn't beat that baseline (it scored 0 on our skill measure, the same as always picking the home side would have). Nobody in this group of 19 beat the field by fading the Ravens for a different reason; the one correct pick and the baseline pick were the same team.

![Only one pundit sided with the winner](/posts/visuals/12227060-d401-4391-a164-7fa0f9b3d25e.png)

The 18 who took Baltimore were not hedging. Pundits reached for the Ravens' Derrick Henry-powered run game, their 4-1 start, and Cleveland's shaky offense as reasons to side with Baltimore even on the road. None of it held up against a Browns defense that kept the final score to 13-10.

## What happened to the pundit who called the upset, then walked it back?

[Jason La Canfora](/pundits/jason-la-canfora) had this game right on October 15, then talked himself out of it two days later. His first take, published October 15, argued the Browns "can hang around and put some pressure on the Ravens... and maybe even pull off the upset," graded 100 accuracy once Cleveland won. But on October 17, in a second piece, La Canfora flipped: "this is also a football game Sunday at Cleveland that they should find a way to win... Here's how and why they should win this game," backing Baltimore instead. That later call is what stood when the split closed, and it graded 0 accuracy with a skill score of -172. La Canfora's game-outcome record on this site sits at 50% accuracy across two graded calls on this matchup, exactly one right, one wrong, and the wrong one was the version he published closer to kickoff.

## Which score prediction came closest?

[John Breech](/pundits/john-breech) called it Ravens 23-20, an eight-point swing from the actual 13-10 Cleveland win but closer in the margin than anyone else guessed. His predicted margin of a 3-point Ravens win missed the actual 3-point Browns win by 6 points, the tightest gap of the six published scores. He still had the wrong team winning, which capped his accuracy at 50 and his skill score at -73.71. For context, Breech's score-prediction accuracy across 107 graded calls on this site is 53.34%, so this result landed almost exactly on his usual level, not a departure from how he typically grades on this type of call.

## Who missed by the most?

[Jared Dubin](/pundits/jared-dubin) projected Ravens 31, Browns 14, an 18-point swing from the final and the largest miss among the six score calls (off the actual margin by 20 points). That call graded 16.67 accuracy and a skill score of -131.05. It's a weaker outing than his career score-prediction average of 43.27% across 71 graded calls, though not out of character for a pundit whose overall accuracy on this site sits at 45.68%.

The rest of the score calls clustered between those two: [Pete Prisco](/pundits/pete-prisco) had Ravens 24-13 (off by 14), [Chris Simms](/pundits/chris-simms) had Ravens 27-19 (off by 11), and [Jordan Dajani](/pundits/jordan-dajani) and [Tyler Sullivan](/pundits/tyler-sullivan) both landed on Ravens 26-20 (off by 9 apiece).

![Every published score picked the wrong winner](/posts/visuals/54ef59a9-868a-4186-9f76-f09934029a4a.png)

## Does this change the season-long picture for these two clubs?

It complicates both. Several pundits built big preseason numbers around Baltimore, with Nick Wright calling the Ravens a 13-4 "juggernaut" and John Breech projecting a 12-5 record and the AFC North title as far back as September. Cleveland drew the opposite treatment, with calls as low as 3-14 and 4-13 floated over the summer, even as Browns owner Jimmy Haslam pushed back on those numbers. A Ravens loss to a team many pundits wrote off before the season doesn't settle any of those forecasts, but it is one more result that both the optimistic Ravens calls and the pessimistic Browns calls now have to explain. For the season-long picture on both teams, see the [Ravens](/nfl/teams/ravens) and [Browns](/nfl/teams/browns) pages, and see how this week's pundits stack up overall on the [leaderboard](/nfl/leaderboard).