# Cowboys 38, Eagles 21: The Field Leaned Dallas, and Still Undersold the Margin

*Published 2026-10-27 — MissedTakes*

*Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing.*

## Which Way Did Pundits Lean on Cowboys-Eagles?

Pundits leaned toward Dallas, 11 picks to 6, and the Cowboys rewarded that lean with a 38-21 win in Philadelphia. Across the 25 graded calls we tracked on this game, the average accuracy came out to 45, and the typical score pick had Philadelphia losing by 4 points. The Eagles lost by 17.

![Dallas Was the Preferred Pick, Eleven to Six](/posts/visuals/2f58bd02-6888-4e3c-a70f-3ac93586ac5c.png)

## Which Pundit Had the Closest Score?

[Tyler Sullivan](/pundits/tyler-sullivan) came closest among the seven pundits who posted a final score, projecting "Cowboys at Eagles (Monday) Projected score : Cowboys 27, Eagles 17" on October 21. His predicted margin, Dallas by 10, missed the actual 17-point margin by 7 points and scored 83.33 accuracy, the best of the group.

Two pundits also beat picking the home team outright by backing Dallas as a winner-only call. [Colleen Wolfe](/pundits/colleen-wolfe) said on October 24, "I think that the Eagles don't really have a shot to win... I think Dallas is favored on the road in Philly," and scored 100 accuracy. [Mitchell Eisenstein](/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein) wrote on October 21, "All right, I'm taking Dallas... Give me Dallas by a touchdown in Philly," also scoring 100. Picking the home Eagles would have cost nothing extra against our scoring; picking the road Cowboys and getting it right is why both calls carry a higher MissedTakes Score than a simple hit.

## Which Calls Missed on Eagles-Cowboys?

[Richard Sherman](/pundits/richard-sherman) was the only one of the seven score-callers to side with Philadelphia, writing on October 21, "Give me Philly in this one by three. Give me Philly 20 to 17." The call missed the final margin by 20 points and scored 16.67 accuracy.

Two winner-only picks on Philadelphia also scored zero. "Stanford Steve" Coughlin said on October 23 that the Eagles "probably win that game." Devon Platana, writing on October 19, had Philadelphia facing "a lineup of winnable games against the Cowboys, Cardinals, and Colts." Both picked Philadelphia; both scored zero.

## Did This Game Fit These Pundits' Records?

Sullivan's 83.33 here sits above his overall accuracy of 61.5 across 162 graded calls, and above the 62.55 he has posted specifically on score predictions. Sherman's 16.67 sits well under the 75.4 accuracy he has posted across 39 graded score predictions, a clear step down from his usual form on that type. Wolfe's hit extends a perfect record on winner-only calls, 3 for 3 on game-outcome picks, though that is a small sample to draw much from.

![No Score Pick Had the Eagles Losing by More Than 10](/posts/visuals/a57f983c-4b29-4d9b-8d2a-10a1a251974d.png)

## What Are Pundits Saying About the Rest of the Cowboys' and Eagles' Seasons?

CBS Sports' staff vote in early September had Dallas winning the NFC East over Philadelphia, 8 votes to 6, per [Zachary Pereles](/pundits/zachary-pereles)' September 9 writeup. [John Breech](/pundits/john-breech) projected Dallas at 10-7 and Philadelphia at 9-8 for the season back on September 7, and [Jeff Kerr](/pundits/jeff-kerr) picked the Eagles to go 12-5 and win the division "for the third straight year" on September 13. Bryan DeArdo, who tops our [leaderboard](/nfl/leaderboard) at a MissedTakes Score of 86.15, picked Philadelphia to return to the Super Bowl, one of the Cowboys' and Eagles' [division-winner calls](/nfl/teams/cowboys) we have tracked this season, 53 of them naming Dallas, 40 naming [Philadelphia](/nfl/teams/eagles).