# Chamber Control — US Elections prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 102
- **Graded:** 53 (52% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 79.2 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 42; **under 40:** 11
- **Pundits who have made one:** 44

## By season

- 2024: 53 of 53 graded
- 2026: 0 of 49 graded

## Who is good at chamber control

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Sarah McCammon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sarah-mccammon): score 102, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Rachel Bitterkofer](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rachel-bitterkofer): score 102, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [David French](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-french): score 102, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Turrentine](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-turrentine): score 102, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Steve Deace Show](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-deace-show): score 101, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mark Sutton](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mark-sutton): score 101, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tim Miller](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tim-miller): score 101, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Steve Deace](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-deace): score 100.67, 100 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Nathan Gonzales](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nathan-gonzales): score 100.5, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Sean Trende](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sean-trende): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Carl Cannon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/carl-cannon): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Steve Bannon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/steve-bannon): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Clay Travis](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/clay-travis): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Logan Phillips](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-phillips): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Newt Gingrich](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/newt-gingrich): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jacob Rubashkin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jacob-rubashkin): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Megyn Kelly](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/megyn-kelly): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [David Pakman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-pakman): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Erick-Woods Erickson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/erick-woods-erickson): score 75, 100 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Matthew Yglesias](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matthew-yglesias): score 50.5, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Isaac Saul](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/isaac-saul): score 34.67, 66.67 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Daniel Horowitz](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/daniel-horowitz): score 25.5, 100 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Lakshya Jain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lakshya-jain): score 0, 50 accuracy, 4 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Kirk Bado](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kirk-bado): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gabe Fleisher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gabe-fleisher): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Bret Stephens](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bret-stephens): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Andrew Heaton](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-heaton): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Justin Robert Young](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/justin-robert-young): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Bill Scher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bill-scher): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Michael Cohen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-cohen): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Henry Olsen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/henry-olsen): score 0, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Sam Wang](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-wang): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [The NPR Politics Podcast](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-npr-politics-podcast): score 102, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Tangle (newsletter)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/tangle-newsletter): score 102, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The David Pakman Show](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-david-pakman-show): score 101, 2 graded (provisional)
- [The Inside Elections Podcast](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-inside-elections-podcast): score 100.5, 3 graded (provisional)
- [RealClearPolitics Podcast](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/realclearpolitics-podcast): score 100, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/breaking-points-with-krystal-and-saagar): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Newt's World](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/newt-s-world): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-clay-travis-and-buck-sexton-show): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-bulwark-podcast-feed-title-the-bulwark-daily): score 76.25, 4 graded (provisional)
- [Steve Deace Show](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/steve-deace-show): score 75.75, 7 graded (provisional)
- [Erick Erickson newsletter (Substack)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/erick-erickson-newsletter-substack): score 75, 3 graded (provisional)
- [The Megyn Kelly Show](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-megyn-kelly-show): score 67.33, 4 graded (provisional)
- [Slow Boring](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/slow-boring): score 50.5, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Politics Politics Politics (Justin Robert Young)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/politics-politics-politics-justin-robert-young): score 10.1, 13 graded (provisional)
- [Tangle (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/tangle-podcast): score 1, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Split Ticket](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/split-ticket): score 0, 4 graded (provisional)
- [Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/princeton-election-consortium-sam-wang): score -100, 1 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/predictions/chamber-control
The US Elections hub: https://missedtakes.co/elections
