# Fantasy Defense Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 19
- **Graded:** 7 (37% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 66.7 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 5; **under 40:** 2
- **Pundits who have made one:** 11

## By season

- 2020: 3 of 3 graded
- 2026: 4 of 16 graded

## Who is good at fantasy defense calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice): score 163.17, 91.67 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jake Ciely](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely): score 163.17, 91.67 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Evan Silva](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/evan-silva): score 72.22, 61.11 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jacob Herlin](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jacob-herlin): score 27.83, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast): score 163.17, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Establish The Run](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/establish-the-run): score 72.22, 3 graded (provisional)
- [FantasyPros](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros): score 13.92, 2 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/predictions/fantasy-defense-finish
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/fantasy-defense-finish