# Sleeper Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 1251
- **Graded:** 179 (14% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 53.1 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 95; **under 40:** 84
- **Pundits who have made one:** 79

## By season

- 2025: 179 of 183 graded
- 2026: 0 of 1068 graded

## Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/simon-hunter): score 200, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tom Strachan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-strachan): score 100, 75 accuracy, 16 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Seth Woolcock](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-woolcock): score 66.67, 66.67 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown): score 40, 60 accuracy, 34 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice): score 22.45, 55.61 accuracy, 28 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Ryan Wormeli](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli): score 20, 55 accuracy, 11 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Sean Kerner](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sean-kerner): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mason Dodd](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mason-dodd): score -13.33, 46.67 accuracy, 15 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Andrew Erickson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-erickson): score -17.14, 45.71 accuracy, 25 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Raybon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-raybon): score -28.57, 42.86 accuracy, 7 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Joe Pisapia](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-pisapia): score -40, 40 accuracy, 6 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Welsh](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-welsh): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 11 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Joe Dolan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-dolan): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Scott Bogman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/scott-bogman): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Terrell Furman Jr](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/terrell-furman-jr): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jake Ciely](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely): score -133.33, 16.67 accuracy, 8 graded across 3 articles (provisional)

## By publisher

- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score -23.47, 179 graded (limited)

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/predictions/fantasy-sleeper
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/fantasy-sleeper