# Contract Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 88
- **Graded:** 7 (8% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 85.7 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 6; **under 40:** 1
- **Pundits who have made one:** 50

## By season

- 2024: 2 of 2 graded
- 2025: 0 of 2 graded
- 2026: 5 of 84 graded

## Who is good at contract calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jon Gruden](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jon-gruden): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Josh Alper](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/josh-alper): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Noah Strackbein](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/noah-strackbein): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Doug "D-Mac" McKain](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/doug-d-mac-mckain): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score 100, 2 graded (provisional)
- [CBS Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [NBC Sports](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/nbc-sports): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Sports Illustrated](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Rams (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-rams-podcast): score -100, 1 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/predictions/player-contract
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/player-contract