# Top Player Lists — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 314
- **Graded:** 74 (24% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 56.9 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 15; **under 40:** 16
- **Pundits who have made one:** 117

## By season

- 2022: 1 of 1 graded
- 2023: 14 of 16 graded
- 2024: 16 of 24 graded
- 2025: 43 of 64 graded
- 2026: 0 of 209 graded

## Who is good at top player lists

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Jason Cabinda](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jason-cabinda): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Danny G](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-g): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Mayock](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-mayock): score 90, 95 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Kyle Crabbs](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kyle-crabbs): score 72.12, 86.06 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Daniel Jeremiah](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/daniel-jeremiah): score 68.75, 84.38 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Matt Harmon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-harmon): score 60.24, 80.12 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 50, 75 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Robert Smith](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/robert-smith): score 33.03, 83.03 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher): score 28.33, 78.33 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score 25, 75 accuracy, 4 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Bucky Brooks](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bucky-brooks): score 22.97, 72.97 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Charles McDonald](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/charles-mcdonald): score 22.42, 61.21 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright): score 20.79, 58.34 accuracy, 4 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Nick Shook](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-shook): score 20, 60 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jordan Vanek](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jordan-vanek): score 19.76, 63.17 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Patrick Claybon](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/patrick-claybon): score 15.15, 57.58 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Chad Millman](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chad-millman): score 13.74, 56.87 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Logan Ryan](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/logan-ryan): score 11.89, 55.94 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Peter Schrager](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/peter-schrager): score 10.42, 52.09 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Isaiah Stanback](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/isaiah-stanback): score 10, 55 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chad Ochocinco Johnson](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chad-ochocinco-johnson): score 10, 55 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Connor Livesay](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/connor-livesay): score 10, 60 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/simon-hunter): score 9.89, 54.95 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Kevin Riley](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kevin-riley): score 6.95, 55 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jeremy Fowler](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jeremy-fowler): score 4.24, 52.12 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 3.22, 54.62 accuracy, 6 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Manti Te'o](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/manti-te-o): score 0, 50 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/danny-parkins): score -4.24, 47.88 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [ESPN](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/espn): score -11.52, 44.24 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Simms](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms): score -20, 40 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score -20, 40 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Patrick](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-patrick): score -30, 20 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe): score -34.75, 25 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Justin Penik](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/justin-penik): score -35, 15 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/colin-cowherd): score -42.5, 28.75 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Jamie Erdahl](https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl): score -50, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)

## By publisher

- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score 43.2, 21 graded (limited)
- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score 37.5, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 27.25, 12 graded (provisional)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score 24.75, 4 graded (provisional)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 21.88, 14 graded (limited)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score 19.05, 11 graded (provisional)
- [The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast): score -22.01, 5 graded (provisional)
- [Nightcap (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast): score -22.45, 4 graded (provisional)
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): score -50, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-colin-cowherd-podcast-podcast): score -100, 1 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.co/predictions/top-players-list
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.co/nfl/top-players-list
