# Aaron Ladd — prediction record



## Is Aaron Ladd accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Aaron Ladd scores 97.88% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 97.88%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 0
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 2
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 60% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Aug 27, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Ladd sees the Chiefs as a wild card team in 2025, and expects Kansas City to lose the preseason finale to Seattle.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/73b75240-f953-4310-b611-0f406821368f

### Apr 24, 2026 — scored 95.76 across 1 call

Before the Chiefs' pick at No. 6, Ladd predicted Kansas City had traded up to take edge rusher Arvel Reese. After the pick, they framed Mansour Delaine as the immediate replacement for Trent McDuffie as the Chiefs' No. 1 cornerback.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2d2b760-c7eb-48c2-b5f5-2235ff6868cf


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=aaron-ladd