# Adam Chudwin — prediction record



## Is Adam Chudwin accurate?

Across 11 graded calls in 1 article, Adam Chudwin scores 72.73% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 36.36, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 72.73%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 36.36
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 11
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 0% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Sep 4, 2026 — scored 72.73 across 11 calls

In their annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6e5e93f-2997-4140-881f-3acec911a1f1


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=adam-chudwin