# Adam Schefter — prediction record

Adam Schefter covers NFL player movement, contract news and roster decisions for CBS Sports, NBC Sports, Sports Illustrated and The Pat McAfee Show. The predictions tracked here touch the Eagles, Ravens, Raiders, Chiefs, Vikings and Seahawks, featuring Saquon Barkley, Brock Bowers and Kyler Murray among the players named.

## Is Adam Schefter accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Adam Schefter scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 161, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 161
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** 100%
- **Hedged:** 76% of claims
- **Right when hedging:** not enough data
- **Right when committing:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Oct 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Schefter, as relayed on the show, said they expect Josh Downs to be traded.

https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ce15495b-2a1f-47a3-a73d-143421544b4e


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=adam-schefter