# Amy Walter — prediction record ## Is Amy Walter accurate? Across 7 graded calls in 3 articles, Amy Walter scores 81.32% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 59.68, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 81.32% - **MissedTakes Score:** 59.68 - **Graded articles:** 3 - **Graded individual calls:** 7 - **Clarity:** 100% - **Hedged:** 66.67% of claims - **Right when hedging:** not enough data - **Right when committing:** not enough data PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology ## Graded articles (3) ### Oct 18, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Walter cited Cook Political Report's rating of Kentucky's 6th District as Lean Republican, and spoke of Democratic leadership heading into 2027 with a Democratic House (hedging on whether the Senate would follow). https://missedtakes.co/opinions/571511e7-96ee-4398-8c22-a77fdca3d0f9 ### Oct 20, 2024 — scored 96.98 across 4 calls Walter said Trump would carry Montana by roughly twice their Ohio margin, with Ohio likely going to Trump by about 10 points, and they stood behind Cook's ratings of Montana's Senate race as Lean Republican and Nebraska's as Likely Republican. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bca6087-8f77-4c30-8ef4-82788181411d ### Oct 30, 2022 — scored 100 across 1 call Walter agreed with the CBS assessment that the midterms will not produce a red wave but will deliver a Republican majority in the House. https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4a47958d-df6d-4782-bd90-de3a9ac81719 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=amy-walter